Yeah, Moore was the worst possible candidate and they would have kept the seat with Strange (or probably almost anyone else).
However, all the special elections and state elections thus far have shown real movement towards the Democrats with districts that are +20 R keeping the seat by four or five points instead of twenty. And Virginia's state GOP lost around fifteen seats in the state legislature. So, while Strange would have won, if the result was Strange +5 instead of Strange +22, it wouldn't have surprised me. This should be very worrying to Republicans since few places are as deeply red as Alabama and a fifteen or twenty point leftward swing means a Democratic victory in a whole lot of places (as we saw in VA).
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.