Kavekkk wrote:
Obviously it will cause inflation, but it won't cause inflation at a 1:1 ratio. The minimum wage's absolute value will therefore increase.
Sure. In the short term. And for those who retain their jobs (or can find one in the first place). Again, you're mostly providing a benefit for those who need it least, based on a purely emotional argument. And said benefits fade pretty quickly. It's why liberals keep going back to the minimum wage well year after year. If raising it actually helped the poor, wouldn't it have... you know... helped the poor by now?
Quote:
This isn't some obscure piece of theory that's never been tested before. You can look at other countries, like Australia, where the minimum wage is a lot higher. The cost of some basic services and goods is higher, but not that much higher (even given relatively high shipping costs) - it takes far fewer hours worked at min wage in Aus to secure a given standard of living than it does in the USA.
Temporarily. They just raised it recently, so prices have not have time to adjust yet. Um... But we can already see a rising unemployment trend among those most likely to earn minimum wage (young workers). That will adjust, of course, but about the same rate as the costs adjust. Which leaves you with a wash.
I'll also point out that you can't directly compare one nations numbers to another. What you have to look at is deltas within a nation's economy over time, based on economic policy choices. I just see raising the minimum wage as an attempt to rob Peter to pay Paul. In the end, you don't accomplish much, but along the way, you might just get some "feel good" support from the process. Which, I'll submit, is the primary reason why the Left loves to propose this. If they really thought that simply raising minimum wage was the way to help the poor, why not raise it to something substantial, like say $40 or $50 per hour? $10.10, or $12, or even $15 isn't enough to support a household on, right?
Clearly, the Left understands that this actually doesn't work. But if they propose smaller changes, that will have little effect at all, but will play on people's emotions, they can gain political advantage with the issue. Which is why it's used. It has *nothing* to do with actually trying to help the poor because no amount of raising the minimum wage will ever be sufficient to accomplish that, and any amount that would be would have immediate and powerful negative effects (like say actually raising it to $40 or $50 per hour).
Quote:
Quote:
As I said earlier, the value of my labor relative to that of a burger flipper is a natural result of the market. It's not artificial.
America is a mixed market economy. Subsidies and regulations, including the minimum wage, already 'distort' the market. Any wage in the USA is 'artificial' by this metric. If we changed various policies - immigration, subsidies to tech companies, etc - we could make your wage lower or higher than it is now. Or, rather, the wage of people in similar positions to you. You've been in the same position for some time now IIRC, I have a feeling that neither you or your employer are acutely attuned to market forces.
Well, that's a whole different issue though. Remember that within any given industry, there are a range of jobs, with a range of skills, and a range of relative valuation, and thus wages paid. One could argue, for example, that my company might benefit from various trade deals and subsidies (or be harmed by them, depending on how things pan out), and that this would logically affect the relative profits of the company (and likely all others in the same industry), and thus effect the salaries of those working here. Um... But there's no reason to assume this would only benefit IT engineers and chip designers, right? It would also benefit secretaries, admin clerks, janitors, groundskeepers, security personnel, etc, etc, etc. So it's hard to paint this in terms of a broad effect on wages in a specific profession, since the same skill set might land you a similar job in any of a number of companies engaged in potentially radically different industries.
I'd argue that this is an effect on specific wages for a given individual worker based on the company they work for, but likely gets washed out when looking broadly at an entire field. The larger effect of relative valuation of the skills of a given profession will tend to far outweigh those other factors. So while there may be some variation for an IT engineers salary based on where he works, the set of "all IT engineers" compared to "all burger flippers" is going to remain pretty constant in terms of relative valuation. And, as I've mentioned above, raising minimum wage isn't going to have a long term effect on that relative valuation. It may temporarily benefit the burger flipper, but the economy will adjust, other wages will adjust, prices will adjust, and the short term benefit will fade.
The only long term way a burger flipper improves his relative economic position is to improve his skill set so that he's no longer employed flipping burgers, but is instead doing something that is valued higher. This is a far far better bet than sitting around hoping for a minimum wage hike to make your burger flipping job pay more. So policies that make it easier for burger flippers to move on to doing something more valuable to the labor market are much better approaches than policies that attempt to make burger flipping pay more. The former actually helps people improve themselves over their lifetimes. The latter does not, and can actually be harmful because the mere pursuit of the goal can result in more people choosing to linger in a low skill job waiting for the government to impose a wage increase rather than taking actions to improve their skills themselves.
The fallacy here is looking at the numbers in those low paying jobs and making huge hay out of it. The more important figure is the rate of upward mobility. How hard is it to move up into higher income brackets within a given labor market? That's what really matters. Everyone can (and probably should) start with a low paying job. But they should be encouraged to move up to higher paying jobs, and do so by actually improving their skills and value to their employees. This works because they are actually producing things of value greater than the cost of their labor, producing a net positive macro economic effect on the economy. When you start dorking around with mandated wage levels, the temporary benefit to those in the low paying jobs is at the expense of those jobs actually costing more relative to what they produce. Which has a net negative economic effect. Even if the argument is that the economy (or businesses in that segment of the economy) "can afford it", that misses the point. Profits don't get stuffed in mattresses. They get re-invested in some way. And one of the direct benefits of those profits is relatively higher employment in the next cycle. Reducing those profits will have a net negative effect on employment over time. The cost may not be immediately apparent, but it will be paid. There ain't no such thing as a free lunch.
Edited, Jan 5th 2016 4:16pm by gbaji