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#152 Oct 28 2015 at 8:03 AM Rating: Excellent
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Pew Research wrote:
As Fact Tank noted earlier this month, about 20.6 million people — 30% of all hourly, non-self-employed workers 18 and older — are what we call “near-minimum-wage workers,” meaning they earn more than the current minimum wage (either the federal $7.25-an-hour minimum or a higher state minimum) but less than the $10.10 hourly rate that emerged over the past year as a consensus goal of many Democrats and labor groups.
[...]
We also looked at the wage distribution of the near-minimum workforce. Interestingly, nearly a quarter of them (about 5.1 million workers) are already close to $10.10 an hour, meaning an increase in the federal minimum to that level wouldn’t benefit them very much. More than a third, though — or roughly 7.4 million workers — make between $7.25 and $8.50 an hour.

You can also look at this companion piece giving demographics of who is making at/near minimum wage.
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#153 Oct 28 2015 at 8:05 AM Rating: Excellent
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I have a research team that inevitably posts here with links and stuff. So thanks for that.
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#154 Oct 28 2015 at 8:14 AM Rating: Good
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I feel like we talk about this at least once a month covering all the same things back and forth. It's like everybody forgot that we had this exact same discussion just a month or two ago. There is no topic for me that is more profoundly disgusting-- having lived the low wage American Nightmare all my life, and to this day continue to watch my friends and family and former coworkers scrape by while a bunch of sociopaths call them stupid and lazy for literally not having any other options. Yet I'm somehow expected to take those people seriously enough to find "common ground" with them.

I'll tell you what. I really don't feel strongly either way about things like abortion or gay marriage or gun control, despite my leanings-- but I will not accept it when I'm told it is fine and normal for human beings to devout their lives to a job that earns them just barely enough to get by on. There is nothing more disheartening than listening to my old friends who've had the wool pulled completely over their eyes talk about "toughing it out" and "being grateful" for the opportunity they have when said "opportunity" is tantamount to slavery.
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#155 Oct 28 2015 at 11:07 AM Rating: Good
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Jophiel wrote:
It's as though no one here realizes that they are on the internet.
Is that the whozit with the tubes and the cats and the funny maymays?
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#156 Oct 28 2015 at 1:09 PM Rating: Good
Sort of on topic, but I've been working at my new job for almost a month and I still haven't gotten a paycheck. (Supposedly I will on Friday.)

I also don't even have to keep track of my hours worked in Kronos or anything any more.

I just kind of show up and generate functional requirements and design interface screens and leave after around nine or ten hours.

This is.... weird. Universities are weird.
#157 Oct 28 2015 at 1:18 PM Rating: Good
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Maybe you haven't bee paid because you haven't submitted any hours?




How's the new job working out? Happier? Indifferent?
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#158 Oct 28 2015 at 1:21 PM Rating: Excellent
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Wait till you get some time in and the "show up" part becomes lax.
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#159 Oct 28 2015 at 2:11 PM Rating: Good
Uglysasquatch wrote:
Maybe you haven't bee paid because you haven't submitted any hours?

How's the new job working out? Happier? Indifferent?


Same job as before, different industry. Nicer boss. Smaller office. (I share a closet with the other analyst). There is no free coffee, but I can mooch tea off the Help Desk office across the library.

More creative freedom but much stricter rules since we're dealing with medical records. (It's animal medical records so it's not HIPPA level stuff, but still.)

As for not submitting hours, I asked about it. We don't have to bother. We're monthly salaried and HR really doesn't care when we work; they've got professors and veterinarians logging whenever hours and they let each department handle their own salaried schedules internally.

Edited, Oct 28th 2015 4:13pm by Catwho
#160 Oct 28 2015 at 3:10 PM Rating: Good
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Sounds garbage.
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#161 Oct 28 2015 at 4:01 PM Rating: Decent
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Sir Xsarus wrote:
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But we can assume a pretty similar ratio for those "near minimum wage", right?
No, I would say you can't. The younger and less stable employees will not stay around as long, and so will be far more likely to be at or just above minimum wage. As it increases, even slightly your ratios will shift quickly.


Wait. Maybe I'm not understanding you. Are you saying that there is a higher percentage of people earning *exactly* minimum wage who are heads of households than there are among those earning just a bit more than minimum wage, or lower, or the same? That's what I meant by the ratio is pretty similar. In the range we're talking about, most of them are probably going to be new/young workers. As people get older and more experienced (and frankly, more responsible), their wage will tend to go up. Hence my point that you're mostly increasing the wages of those who aren't those we're presumably trying to help with a minimum wage hike, while actually hurting those who are.

If the current minimum is say $8/hour and the percentage of those supporting household is higher in the $12-$15/hour range than in the $8-$12/hour range, then raising minimum wage from $8/hour to $12/hour will hurt more of those you're trying to help than it will help. Get it?
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#162 Oct 28 2015 at 4:12 PM Rating: Excellent
Kavekkk wrote:
Sounds garbage.


Meh, it's a paycheck.

..... I think.
#163 Oct 28 2015 at 4:37 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
It's as though no one here realizes that they are on the internet.
Pew Research wrote:
As Fact Tank noted earlier this month, about 20.6 million people — 30% of all hourly, non-self-employed workers 18 and older — are what we call “near-minimum-wage workers,” meaning they earn more than the current minimum wage (either the federal $7.25-an-hour minimum or a higher state minimum) but less than the $10.10 hourly rate that emerged over the past year as a consensus goal of many Democrats and labor groups.
[...]
We also looked at the wage distribution of the near-minimum workforce. Interestingly, nearly a quarter of them (about 5.1 million workers) are already close to $10.10 an hour, meaning an increase in the federal minimum to that level wouldn’t benefit them very much. More than a third, though — or roughly 7.4 million workers — make between $7.25 and $8.50 an hour.

You can also look at this companion piece giving demographics of who is making at/near minimum wage.


Still missing the key piece of information: What percentage of them are heads of households and/or sole breadwinners? Isn't that the question we're addressing here? Also, how long does one typically spend in that near minimum wage range? Because the claimed reason for pushing for a living wage rests on the assumption that there's a large number of folks earning near minimum wages who need more in order to support them selves independent of other financial support. So not students living at home. Not young adults sharing expenses with a few friends. Not spouses working part time to add a bit extra to the household finances.

And, as I mentioned above, we also have to look at the number of those who are primary financial support for a household who are in the range just above "near minimum wage". Because that's the set of people who will actually be harmed by a minimum wage hike. Their cost of living will go up, but their wages wont (at least not at first). As I mentioned, all will adjust over time, but presumably the whole point of this exercise is to bump up some people's wages ahead of said adjustment. But you kinda need to make sure the targeted people are those who benefit most and aren't those who are hurt most.

My innate suspicion is that there's a higher ratio of primary household providers in the range just above the proposed minimum wage increase (lets say $10.10/hour to maybe $15/hour) than there are between the current minimum and $10.10. I could be wrong, of course, but I doubt it. So you're going to benefit a lot of students and stoners and bored housewives with empty nest syndrome, while actually hurting a lot of struggling single mothers.
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#164 Oct 28 2015 at 4:44 PM Rating: Excellent
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I'd suggest that instead of your "suspicions", you could do some research but we both know that you're mainly just invested in saying "bad idea, won't work!"
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#165 Oct 28 2015 at 4:57 PM Rating: Decent
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Kuwoobie wrote:
I feel like we talk about this at least once a month covering all the same things back and forth. It's like everybody forgot that we had this exact same discussion just a month or two ago. There is no topic for me that is more profoundly disgusting-- having lived the low wage American Nightmare all my life, and to this day continue to watch my friends and family and former coworkers scrape by while a bunch of sociopaths call them stupid and lazy for literally not having any other options. Yet I'm somehow expected to take those people seriously enough to find "common ground" with them.


A first step might be not calling them sociopaths. I don't think there's anything wrong with pointing out that most people are actually able to earn more than minimum wage (or even "near minimum wage"). And certainly an even higher percentage are able to over time. That 30% figure is the number at any given time. But there's a constant flow of new workers entering the workforce at the bottom, and presumably a similar number leaving that range as their wages increase above the near minimum wage range. I couldn't tell you what percentage of people work their whole lives stuck in the near minimum wage range, but it's got to be pretty darn small.

So yeah, you'll have to forgive me taking your complaints with a massive grain of salt. What you are describing is not remotely typical. And we certainly should not embark on some broad policy changes because of it. Babies and bathwater and whatnot.

Quote:
I'll tell you what. I really don't feel strongly either way about things like abortion or *** marriage or gun control, despite my leanings-- but I will not accept it when I'm told it is fine and normal for human beings to devout their lives to a job that earns them just barely enough to get by on. There is nothing more disheartening than listening to my old friends who've had the wool pulled completely over their eyes talk about "toughing it out" and "being grateful" for the opportunity they have when said "opportunity" is tantamount to slavery.


If you are being honest about your situation, then it's not "fine and normal". But that's the point. Most people are able to improve their economic condition over the course of their lives. If you have not, it's not because the system is broken, but because you have made a set of choices (or I suppose been ridiculously unlucky, just to give you a possible benefit of the doubt) that have resulted in an extremely rare outcome for you personally. But again, that's not normal. Most people don't get stuck in low wage jobs their whole lives. I know that's a narrative folks like to talk about and attempt to push for political change over, but it's just not the typical American worker experience.
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#166 Oct 28 2015 at 5:05 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
I'd suggest that instead of your "suspicions", you could do some research but we both know that you're mainly just invested in saying "bad idea, won't work!"


Yeah. I already have a full time job, thank you. Sadly, the mass of people working for various think tanks out there who are actually employed to go through this data and assemble it manage to never actually look at those key bits. So I guess I'm just stuck making the quite reasonable assumption that most people earn more money as they get older, wiser, more experienced, and more responsible. And thus, it's reasonable to assume that there's a higher percentage of people who are heads of household earning $10-$15/hour than there is in the $7.75-$10/hour range.

It would be shockingly unlikely for the reverse to be true.
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#167 Oct 28 2015 at 6:18 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Yeah. I already have a full time job, thank you.

If you're lucky, you'll read a review of a book about it in a conservative blog and then lecture us all on how you never trust anyone's word but always seek out the data for yourself.
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#168 Oct 28 2015 at 6:32 PM Rating: Good
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Yeah. I already have a full time job, thank you.


Do you write these ****** posts while ostensibly doing it?
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#169 Oct 28 2015 at 6:50 PM Rating: Default
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Well, that's typical. Can't counter the argument, so attack the person.

Here's a bit about the effect of raising the minimum wage. Yes. It's from Heritage. Feel free to assume that it's research and figures must all be terrible lies, while failing to bother to obtain countering information if you really want to keep burying your head in the sand.


Raising the minimum wage, especially calling for a "living wage" is less about good economic policy and a lot more about political rhetoric. It's just so easy to call for it absent any facts that it'll do any good, and then condemn those who oppose it as haters of the poor. The reality is that at best, if a minimum wage hike is small, it has little or no effect on poverty and the plight of the working poor. At worse, generally if the hike is large (like that proposed by living wage advocates), it has a primarily harmful effect on both poverty and especially on the working poor. Basically the very people you most think you're going to help will be most hurt.

But heaven forbid we insert a bit of rational thought into our political decision making. Let's just knee jerk react to everything instead.
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#170 Oct 28 2015 at 7:11 PM Rating: Excellent
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If you have to qualify "Yes, it's from XYZ" then you should probably find another source.
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Feel free to assume that it's research and figures must all be terrible lies, while failing to bother to obtain countering information if you really want to keep burying your head in the sand.

...said the man who just whined "But I have a job!" when asked to do any independent fact gathering...
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Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#171 Oct 28 2015 at 7:36 PM Rating: Good
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Answer my question, Gbaji. Do you post here at work or not?
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#172 Oct 29 2015 at 7:21 AM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:
I already have a full time job, thank you.
A job that gives you just enough time to post your guesses on a video game forum yet not enough to google search to see if there's any actual validity to them. Those "space aliens" sure are harsh taskmasters.
Jophiel wrote:
...said the man who just whined "But I have a job!" when asked to do any independent fact gathering...
It saves time when all your opinions comes from one source.
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#173 Oct 29 2015 at 7:40 AM Rating: Good
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#174 Oct 29 2015 at 8:01 AM Rating: Excellent
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I think Stupidmonkey wants to put it in your butt.

Edited, Oct 29th 2015 9:01am by Jophiel
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Belkira wrote:
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#175 Oct 29 2015 at 8:03 AM Rating: Excellent
GBATE!! Never saw it coming
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I like the way that chart 1 shows a nose-dive all during the Bush years.

ALSO: If I'm reading that chart correctly, 25% of the people earning minimum wage are married. I guess they don't count in gbaji's calculaton because reasons.

ALSO: ALSO: After each of the last 2-3 increases in minimum wage the purchasing power of those so paid increased dramatically. This negatively impacted the national economy badly because....other reasons?

Great cite, gbaji. Would you like a compress for that hole you shot in your foot?
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#176 Oct 29 2015 at 8:05 AM Rating: Excellent
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Friar Bijou wrote:
ALSO: If I'm reading that chart correctly, 25% of the people earning minimum wage are married. I guess they don't count in gbaji's calculaton because reasons.

They're all bored housewives working at the A&P just to get out of the house.
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Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
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