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#127 Oct 24 2015 at 5:44 AM Rating: Good
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Kuwoobie wrote:
Kavekkk wrote:
If you were going to go on a rampage, Kuwoobie, how would you go about it? Targets and method.


I can't help but feel that any answer I might give would be incredibly disappointing for you.


Well, this one certainly was.
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#128 Oct 24 2015 at 5:57 AM Rating: Good
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Kavekkk wrote:
Kuwoobie wrote:
Kavekkk wrote:
If you were going to go on a rampage, Kuwoobie, how would you go about it? Targets and method.


I can't help but feel that any answer I might give would be incredibly disappointing for you.


Well, this one certainly was.


What were expecting, really?
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#129 Oct 24 2015 at 6:12 AM Rating: Default
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Gbaji wrote:
Yes. Enforce existing laws. What the gun control "side" is arguing for, and what the pro-gun side is arguing against, is new laws. The problem the pro-gun side has on this, is that instead of focusing on enforcing existing laws designed to prevent criminals and insane people from obtaining firearms, the gun control side just uses every shooting event as an excuse to try to pass laws that restrict all people's ability to obtain firearms.
Enforcing existing laws would include expanding existing laws. Since every city and state have their own laws, any law in Chicago or DC is null when you can travel 15 mins outside the city.


Gbaji wrote:

When you pass laws restricting the size of magazines, or the style of weapon, or handguns, or long guns, or whatever, you're restricting those for all potential owners, not just the criminals and the insane. And that's the problem.
Given that all potential owners are potential criminals and the insane, that's kind of the point. Every criminal was once a law abiding citizen and that's a fact that pro gun people tend to forget.

Gbaji wrote:

It's not a major argument. It's not even a minor argument.

Gbaji wrote:


Um... Oh. I've never heard this argument. Ever. In like a couple decades of arguing gun control with people on both sides, I have never once heard someone argue that we shouldn't pass gun control legislation because we already have so many illegal guns on the street that it just wouldn't do any good. Did you just make this up on the spot?
You lost all political credibility during our RINO debate when you clearly made stuff up about who said what.

Gbaji wrote:
They're different things. It's about enforcement. I have no problem with law enforcement actually following up on things like a private person who's buying 50 guns a week. That person is almost certainly turning around and selling them illegally on the street. I have no problem with law enforcement cracking down on illegal modifications to firearms (typically to make them fully automatic). I have no problem with them spending effort investigating these sorts of things. But that's not what we're talking about with gun control. Gun control advocates argue for things like "you can only own X number of guns", or "your guns can only hold Y number of bullets", or "Your gun can't have a certain type of appearance that we've decided is just too scary", or "we're going to make you jump through a ton of hops to buy a gun", etc, etc, etc.

There are plenty of existing laws that could put a massive dent in the total number of gun fatalities in the US. We don't need more.
They are the same thing. When it doesn't affect you (in a general sense), you support it. When it does, then you're against it. There is no way to determine which law abiding citizen will decide to become a criminal and when.


Gbaji wrote:


No. I'm not. People who argue that we can't check to see if *anyone* is here legally are though. Because you're using the possibility that we might put someone who's been here since they were an infant in danger of being deported, to prevent the possibility that we might catch and deport the guy who jumped the fence last week.
My argument is that if people treated illegal immigrants as they do illegal guns, then we would have a comprehensive immigration plan. I don't see a movement from the pro-gunners to collect and export all illegal guns.

Gbaji wrote:
When your proposal is to not check anyone for legal status, then yes, you are.

Tell you what. Get back to me when you can find a single sanctuary city that limits it's protection to just those people who've been here since they were infants. I'm not going to wait, because you can't do it, no matter how long you take.

Not having the government stop every single person in the US to determine whether or not they are citizens on a daily basis is not the same thing as open boarders. There are smarter ways to ensure people aren't exploiting legal loop holes.

Gbaji wrote:
What happens in terms of a deportation hearing for someone who's been here since they were an infant is one thing. My issue is with using that very small number of people to hide the much larger number of folks who came here illegally as adults.

I'll also point out that I don't happen to think that being brought here as an infant should make you magically immune to our immigration laws.
Being too liberal on infants will only send the wrong signal to continue to bring illegal babies to the country. Those people should also be subject to immigration laws. How? I don't know exactly, but it should be handled differently than adults.


Gbaji wrote:

Not "ANY", but the majority of those proposed by gun control advocates do.
Either is false. While there are a number of pro gun control advocates who want the total removal of guns, their desire doesn't magically turn into reality due to the implementation of "common sense" gun laws.

Edited, Oct 25th 2015 3:27am by Almalieque
#130 Oct 24 2015 at 6:42 AM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
The teen working as a soda jerk didn't earn enough to support a family back in the 50s. He earned some pocket change. That's it. If he got a job at the local factory, or office building, doing something more significant (ie: valuable), he earned more. Even then, it took time to build up enough earnings to do things like get married and raise a family. The difference is that young adults back then understood this, put their noses to the grindstone, and worked at getting to that point.

Well, that and the differences such as well-paying manufacturing jobs being largely gone and corporate consolidation eliminating tons of mid-tier positions that low level soda jerks or mail room workers could get promoted to. And replacing jobs with technology while outsourcing other jobs overseas. Oh, and the absolutely massive increases in the cost of tuition if you want the college education (inc community college and trade schools) necessary today to be even considered to get a mid-tier job. And the gradual dismantling of the unions who even made manufacturing and entry level service jobs livable in that era -- not to mention who ran the apprenticeship programs now replaced by for-profit schools.

But, laziness and entitlement. Yeah, those are the differences between the 1950s and today. Kids today are just lazy and entitled.
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#131 Oct 24 2015 at 11:02 AM Rating: Excellent
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Kavekkk wrote:
If you were going to go on a rampage, Kuwoobie, how would you go about it? Targets and method.



Oh, I wanna play! Super powers or mundane?
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#132 Oct 24 2015 at 5:47 PM Rating: Excellent
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#133 Oct 24 2015 at 8:42 PM Rating: Good
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Samira wrote:
Kavekkk wrote:
If you were going to go on a rampage, Kuwoobie, how would you go about it? Targets and method.



Oh, I wanna play! Super powers or mundane?


If it's with super powers then game on.
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#134 Oct 26 2015 at 2:14 AM Rating: Good
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Samira wrote:
Kavekkk wrote:
If you were going to go on a rampage, Kuwoobie, how would you go about it? Targets and method.


Oh, I wanna play! Super powers or mundane?


You know, originally I was thinking mundane, but maybe we should go for super powers? It'll be less indicting.
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#135 Oct 26 2015 at 8:02 AM Rating: Good
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#136 Oct 26 2015 at 9:33 AM Rating: Excellent
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As opposed to necrophilia and zombie whores.
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#137 Oct 26 2015 at 1:37 PM Rating: Good
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#138 Oct 26 2015 at 7:44 PM Rating: Decent
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xantav wrote:
You know what, I am real sick of people saying customer service jobs aren't real jobs.


I didn't say that customer service jobs aren't real jobs. I said that the kid working the counter at a burger joint probably shouldn't earn enough to support a household on from that labor. You decided two things from this all on your own:

1. That this means it's not a "real job". False. It's a real job. It's just not a high paying job. Which it shouldn't be because the relative value added by that labor is pretty small.

2. That the entire sum of "customer service jobs" consists of the equivalent of working the counter at a fast food joint. That's another bait and switch. I'm sure there are many customer service jobs that require sufficient skill and provide sufficient value to the customer that those working them can make good wages. Say a concierge in a high cost hotel, for one obvious example.

Quote:
Tell you what, I want you to stop using any service that relies on minimum wage work. Since they aren't real jobs, and the workers don't deserve a real paycheck, stop using their services.


That's your false dilemma, not mine. I pay for minimum wage work exactly what it's worth. Minimum wage. I'm not sure why this concept that people should not be forced to pay more for something than they think it's actually worth is so hard to grasp.

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But I know you won't, because you realize they do more to keep society running on a day to day basis than any guy sitting in an office posting on the internet.


Ok. But now you are comparing the collective "they" of all minimum wage earners, to one person. That's not a very fair comparison, is it? Each individual earning minimum wage does so because that one specific job they are performing by itself isn't that valuable. Sure, if every single minimum wage earner in the country decided to stop working, that would throw a wrench in the works, but to what point? It would certainly not be as much of a problem as if every single bank manager stopped working tomorrow, or every single programmer, or every single engineer, or doctor, or chef, or any of a thousand other occupations that earn more than minimum wage.

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Nobody is going to miss your "real" workers, but they sure as **** are going to miss the minimum wage grunts they look down on.


It's not the value of the person, but what the person does. And frankly, part of that value is based on replaceability. If a doctor decides to stop doing work, you can't just grab someone off the street to do this job. Same deal with pretty much any skilled labor position, from construction work to architecture. Pretty sure I could teach a random person off the street how to operate the POS system at Burger King in about 5 minutes though.

Value assignments to labor isn't arbitrary. This idea that we should pay people a given wage, not based on the value of the labor, but because we want to ensure that every job pays a "living wage" is absurd. What incentive would the guy working the counter at a fast food joint have to improve the value of his labor? Zero right? I mean, sure he could earn "more" by going out and spending the time and effort improving himself, but a whole lot of them would be perfectly happy just working said menial job and living off of it. It's a lot easier work.

Um... And there's some value in said improvement on it's own merits. People who actually go out and work hard to improve their skill sets and then earn more because of it tend to feel a sense of satisfaction and accomplishment. Hand people that success for basically just showing up and putting on a paper hat, and they wont feel good about themselves at all. I guess I just don't understand what you're arguing for. It's easy to say it's unfair for people to earn low wages. And it's easy to equate this to some kind of nefariousness and wanting to keep people poor (or whatever other rhetoric you want to toss around), but what is the solution you're proposing?

"Just do something" is a crappy alternative. Tell me what you'd do different, and then tell me how the result would be "better". Because all you're doing is complaining that the status quo is somehow unfair. Is it? I don't think so at all. But if you think so then instead of just saying it is, tell me what alternative would be fair.
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#139 Oct 26 2015 at 8:09 PM Rating: Excellent
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That argument kind of falls apart though when there aren't jobs for someone to get. If it were only teenagers at home doing these minimum wage jobs, then sure, there's no need to set a minimum wage that can provide enough money to pay for shelter, food, etc. That isn't the case though, there are lots of people who are working those jobs and are adults who need to pay expenses themselves. working in a minimum or near minimum wage job will not allow someone the resources to be able to better themselves, so they're trapped.

So given that people depend on these jobs, then I'd rather have a teenager make more money then they need to, and ensure that someone who needs the job isn't trapped .
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#140 Oct 27 2015 at 8:33 AM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:
I don't think so at all
Or just at all.

If value of the labor was truly a factor then congresscritters would be the ones making minimum wage, and arguing how they should be making even less.

Edited, Oct 27th 2015 12:37pm by lolgaxe
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#141 Oct 27 2015 at 10:28 AM Rating: Good
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The silver mine down the street is using robotic digging machines controlled by remote operators in Bangladesh. Can't get a better job there.
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#142 Oct 27 2015 at 4:11 PM Rating: Decent
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Sir Xsarus wrote:
That argument kind of falls apart though when there aren't jobs for someone to get. If it were only teenagers at home doing these minimum wage jobs, then sure, there's no need to set a minimum wage that can provide enough money to pay for shelter, food, etc. That isn't the case though, there are lots of people who are working those jobs and are adults who need to pay expenses themselves. working in a minimum or near minimum wage job will not allow someone the resources to be able to better themselves, so they're trapped.


How many is "lots"? I'm sure it's a number greater than zero, but how much higher? The last time we had a minimum wage thread, I pulled out some labor stats (which I don't feel like digging up again). IIRC, the number of workers in the labor market earning minimum wage was like 4% or so. And of those, at least half were students. It's unclear what the make up of the other half is. How many of them are single parents struggling to support their families, and how many are people (like me in my 20s) who are just working some random job, rooming with a few friends to share expenses, and basically just slacking off for a few years before getting a "real job".

Quote:
So given that people depend on these jobs, then I'd rather have a teenager make more money then they need to, and ensure that someone who needs the job isn't trapped .


Again though, how many actually depend on those jobs to support a household, and how many are teenagers or others who are dependents, or don't have a household to support, or can easily share expenses with others, etc? Without some idea of that ratio, then we can't say that the cost to pay all these people who don't need to earn more is a small price to pay to make sure the rest are paid enough to support a household. And that's before looking at the inflationary effect of this. Simply raising the minimum wage doesn't really do anything because you have raised it for everyone. Dollars don't have an absolute value. Their value is based on relative costs for other things. And if you increase the relative cost of every kid wearing a paper hat, then those increased dollars don't go as far.

Put another way, increased wages only really matter if they are increases relative to an earnings floor. If you raise that floor, those earning the new higher minimum don't actually gain anything. And, as I've explained many times in past threads, you will actually hurt a lot of near minimum wage earners in the process. If the current minimum wage is $8/hour, and you raise it to say $12/hour (or even higher), then everyone who was previously earning between $8 and $12 per hour has had all their relative wage gains erased. I just don't see how you can do this without having some way of making a differentiation between those just starting out in the job market, and those who have been there for some time.

The whole living wage argument seems less designed towards producing any actual solution to a problem, and more about politically oriented rhetoric. You propose something that wont work and will almost certainly hurt lots of workers, wait for conservatives to oppose it because it wont work and will hurt lots of workers, and then proclaim them to be big fat meanies who want poor people to suffer. It's all just BS. There's no solution here, but it's something that can be made to sound like a good idea if you don't stop and think about it too much. Which, I suspect, is precisely the point.
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#143 Oct 27 2015 at 4:51 PM Rating: Excellent
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Two things,

1) your 4% number only includes exactly minimum wage, which isn't very useful, because if I get paid 10 cents more, I'm in the same situation, but apparently I don't count. This point was made in the last thread.

2) While your point about earnings floor has merit, the fundamental point is that cost of living is not solely controlled by wages, so while increasing minimum wage may cause cost of living to also increase, it will increase more slowly than the wage so the people affected will gain. you've made the point before that relative wages mean nothing, that someone being extremely wealthy has no impact on other people who are not, so the only argument I can see here is that costs will rise at the same rate, which should not be the case. Even more so when you factor in international trade.

Edited, Oct 27th 2015 6:01pm by Xsarus
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#144 Oct 27 2015 at 4:58 PM Rating: Excellent
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I'd make the additional point that the idea that cost of living will increase is predicated on the idea that employers can't afford to pay their employees more, so would have to raise their prices of whatever it is they sell to survive. I would assert that based on profits posted by these companies, there is room right now in the market for increased wages, which would further decrease the negative side affects of a higher minimum wage.
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#145 Oct 27 2015 at 5:18 PM Rating: Decent
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Sir Xsarus wrote:
I'd make the additional point that the idea that cost of living will increase is predicated on the idea that employers can't afford to pay their employees more, so would have to raise their prices of whatever it is they sell to survive. I would assert that based on profits posted by these companies, there is room right now in the market for increased wages, which would further decrease the negative side affects of a higher minimum wage.


That only works if you assume that the current ratio of profits to pay is currently artificially maintained (and can be adjusted via some magic, but undefined methodology). It's not though. The employer makes business decisions about his business in terms of profit objectives relative to operating expenses, the need to pad bad years against good, etc. Labor is part of his operating expenses. Clearly, any increase in operating expenses (of any kind) will result in a corresponding increase in costs for the goods/services the business sells. The only counter to this is competition and unequal cost effects.

For example, assume two widget manufacturers. One of them has an issue with their parts supplier that increases costs. He can't pass that on to his customers because then his widgets will cost more than his competitor. Thus, he has to basically eat the extra costs, which will negatively impact profits. However, if both manufacturers are affected by the same cost increase, they can and will both increase the cost of their widgets to the consumer in order to maintain their relative profit margins. Of course, this also assumes no competing product for consumer dollars. So if, say, there's some other product called wadgets, maybe consumers will decide that they want wadgets instead of widgets if the price of widgets increases.

The problem is that no matter how far you go down this chain of competing products for consumer dollars, the same rule applies. Only cost changes that affect just part of the competing market may result in the companies simply eating the cost increase. But when you increase minimum wage, you're increasing the cost for all parts of the market that are in competition (or a large enough portion anyway). The result is that all businesses that employ minimum wage workers will simply raise their prices to account for the new cost increase. There is no factor that would make that a competitive loss for them.

Which has the effect of blunting any positive effects you're trying to obtain. And along the way, you have all those negatives I mentioned earlier. Doing this would be wonderful for those who don't need the money to support a household. But that's not the set of workers you're claiming to try to help. And among that set, you might help a small percentage of them, but most of them would either see no benefit from a minimum wage hike, and some of them will actually be worse off as a result.

It's just one of those things that sounds so simple and easy and obvious until you actually think it through. It just wont work. There's a reason why "living wage" is bandied about all the time, but actual increases to minimum wage are always small and incremental. It's because even those who advocate for raising it know that you can't just spike it up over night, of you'll have some powerful negative effects. But of course, raising it slowly over time allows the market reaction to occur at the same pace, effectively making it a meaningless gesture.

Edited, Oct 27th 2015 4:19pm by gbaji
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#146 Oct 27 2015 at 5:21 PM Rating: Decent
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I suppose for the TL;DR crowd, the short version is that it's kinda silly to assume that companies that currently have a certain profit margin would magically stop wanting to continue to have that same margin after a minimum wage increase. If your assumption is that those profits are driven by greed, then why assume they wont continue to be in the future. Raising the minimum wage doesn't change that.
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#147 Oct 27 2015 at 5:35 PM Rating: Decent
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Ok. Out of order, sue me!

Sir Xsarus wrote:
Two things,

1) your 4% number only includes exactly minimum wage, which isn't very useful, because if I get paid 10 cents more, I'm in the same situation, but apparently I don't count. This point was made in the last thread.


But we can assume a pretty similar ratio for those "near minimum wage", right? The question I raised is still valid. What percentage of those whose wages we'd be raising actually "need" the increased wages to support a household (a "living wage")? If the argument for a living wage is based on need and not value of labor, shouldn't we maybe be looking at those who actually need this instead?

Quote:
2) While your point about earnings floor has merit, the fundamental point is that cost of living is not solely controlled by wages, so while increasing minimum wage may cause cost of living to also increase, it will increase more slowly than the wage so the people affected will gain. you've made the point before that relative wages mean nothing, that someone being extremely wealthy has no impact on other people who are not, so the only argument I can see here is that costs will rise at the same rate, which should not be the case. Even more so when you factor in international trade.


In the very short term, yes. But, as I've pointed out before, wages are relative. Increasing the minimum wage doesn't change the fact that the employer values his shift lead more than the guy working the fry-o-lator. If the shift lead earns $12/hour and the fry guy $8/hour, bumping minimum wage to $12/hour doesn't help the lead at all. It helps the kid who started last week a lot though. Costs will go up (even if just slightly), which, while making the kid formerly earning $8/hour better off, makes the guy making $12 before (and $12 now) worse off. Also, the people making $13/hour and $14/hour and $15/hour, etc, etc, etc are all just a bit worse off because of this.

Over time, those costs will adjust, and the entry guy will make $12/hour, and the lead's salary will increase to $18/hour, and everyone else in the economy's salary will adjust to maintain the relative pay rates. Because, at the risk of repeating myself (again), wages are relative to the relative value of the actual labor. We still value a shift lead higher than the entry guy who started yesterday. And we value the manager even more. And we value the construction manager more than the guy holding the signs. And we value the engineers labor more than the entry tech. We value the doctors labor more than the nurses. Etc, etc, etc, etc. It's all relative. Changing the minimum wage does not change that relative labor valuation. So over time, the net effect will be nothing at all. It's empty rhetoric.

In the short term, you bump up a small percentage of folks who currently earn between the old and new minimums a bit. You hurt every other person. Until the values adjust, and then you're back where you started. Um.. Except that you do have an additional effect in terms of international trade (since you mentioned it). Since the factory workers labor is valued relative to the paper hat fry guy's labor, his salary will go up over time. Which may price his labor out of the market when competing against a foreign laborer's. My point is that there are a host of factors to consider here beyond just "this small group of people will benefit if we do this". There's no such thing as a free lunch.

Edited, Oct 27th 2015 4:36pm by gbaji
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#148 Oct 27 2015 at 6:26 PM Rating: Excellent
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#149 Oct 27 2015 at 9:06 PM Rating: Good
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#150 Oct 27 2015 at 9:12 PM Rating: Excellent
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But we can assume a pretty similar ratio for those "near minimum wage", right?
No, I would say you can't. The younger and less stable employees will not stay around as long, and so will be far more likely to be at or just above minimum wage. As it increases, even slightly your ratios will shift quickly.
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#151 Oct 28 2015 at 7:30 AM Rating: Excellent
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Sir Xsarus wrote:
No, I would say you can't.
Assuming allows you to skip the whole research and fact part of a theory and rush straight to a conclusion, though.
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